تبیین عوامل کلیدی تکنولوژیک تأثیرگذار بر آیندۀ صنعت ساختمان با استفاده از تحلیل ساختاری

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی (کاربردی)

نویسندگان

1 دانشجوی دکتری، گروه معماری، واحد رشت، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، رشت، ایران.

2 دانشیار، گروه معماری، دانشکده معماری و شهرسازی، دانشگاه بین المللی امام خمینی(ره)، قزوین، ایران.

3 استادیار، گروه معماری، واحد رشت، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، رشت، ایران.

10.48301/kssa.2022.334225.2046

چکیده

صنعت ساختمان در طی روند تاریخی خویش همواره متأثر از تکنولوژی­های جدید، پیشرفته و نوظهور است. تحولات تکنولوژی موجب تغییرات روزافزون در بسیاری از عرصه­های صنعت ساختمان شده است. این پژوهش با اتخاذ رویکرد آینده­پژوهی به بررسی تغییر و تحولات تکنولوژی در عرصۀ صنعت ساختمان پرداخته است. هدف پژوهش تبیین عوامل کلیدی تکنولوژیک تأثیرگذار بر آیندۀ صنعت ساختمان است. در گام نخست با استفاده از مطالعۀ کتابخانه­ای به شناسایی پیشران­های تکنولوژیک مؤثر بر صنعت ساختمان پرداخته شده است. با بررسی اسناد و کتب موجود، 18 پیشران در چهار حوزه «طراحی»، «ساخت»، «نگهداری، تعمیر و بهره­برداری» و «مدیریت» شناسایی شده است. سپس از میان پیشران­های تعیین شده با استفاده از روش تحلیل ساختاری و مبتنی بر نظر خبرگان، عوامل کلیدی تکنولوژیک که بیشترین تأثیرگذاری را بر آیندۀ صنعت ساختمان دارند، تعیین شده­اند. برای تجزیه و تحلیل داده­های پژوهش از نرم­افزار میک­مک استفاده شده است. نتایج به‌کارگیری روش تحلیل ساختاری حاکی از آن است که 9 عامل کلیدی شامل مدلسازی اطلاعات ساختمان، بلاک­چین، نرم­افزارهای نوین شبیه­سازی مصرف انرژی، واقعیت مجازی و افزوده در طراحی، سیستم­های هوشمند سازه و تاسیسات، پرینترهای سه­بعدی، پیش‌ساخته­سازی، مدولاریزاسیون و رباتیک بیشترین تأثیر و تأثر را بر آیندۀ صنعت ساختمان خواهند داشت.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات

عنوان مقاله [English]

Explaining Key Technological Factors Affecting the Future of the Construction Industry Using Structural Analysis

نویسندگان [English]

  • Minoochehr Marzban 1
  • Sayed Rahman Eghbali 2
  • Farzaneh Asadi Malekjahan 3
1 PhD Student, Department of Architecture, Rasht Branch, Islamic Azad University, Rasht, Iran.
2 Associate Professor, Department of Architectural Engineering, Faculty of Architecture and Urban Development, Imam Khomeini International University, Qazvin, Iran.
3 Assistant Professor, Department of Architecture, Rasht Branch, Islamic Azad University, Rasht, Iran.
چکیده [English]

The construction industry has always been influenced by new, emerging and advanced technologies throughout its history. Technological developments have led to increasing changes in many areas of the construction industry. This research investigated the technological changes and developments in the field of construction industry by adopting a future-research approach. The purpose of this study was to identify key technological factors affecting the future of the construction industry. First, using library studies, technological advances affecting the construction industry were identified. Examining the available documents and books, 18 drivers were identified in four areas: "design", "construction", "maintenance, repair and operation" and "management". Then, among the drivers determined, using the method of structural analysis and based on the opinion of experts, the key technological factors that will have the greatest impact on the future of the construction industry were identified. Research data was analyzed using MICMAC software. The results of using structural analysis method indicate that 9 key factors including building information modeling (BIM), new energy consumption simulation software, virtual reality and augmented reality, intelligent structural systems and facilities, 3D printers, prefabrication, modularization, robotics and blockchains will have the greatest influence on the future of the construction industry.  

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Construction industry
  • New technologies
  • Futures studies
  • Structural analysis

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فصلنامه علمی کارافن
دوره 19، شماره 4 - شماره پیاپی 60
هنر و معماری | کشاورزی
اسفند 1401
صفحه 191-213

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  • تاریخ دریافت: 20 فروردین 1401
  • تاریخ بازنگری: 07 خرداد 1401
  • تاریخ پذیرش: 31 خرداد 1401

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