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آینده‌پژوهی در مدیریت آموزشی دانشگاه فنی و حرفه‌ای؛ ابعاد و الگوها

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی (کاربردی)

نویسندگان
1 دانشجوی دکتری، گروه مدیریت آموزشی، واحد تهران مرکزی، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران.
2 استادیار، گروه مدیریت آموزشی، واحد تهران مرکزی، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران.
چکیده
مطالعات آینده از آن‌جا که فرصتی ساختاریافته برای نگاه به آینده و بررسی نقش عوامل مؤثر در شکل­گیری آینده را فراهم می­کند، امکان ایجاد چشم­انداز مطلوب برای سیاست‌گذاران و تصمیم­گیران نظام آموزشی در راستای توسعه را به‌وجود می­آورد بنابراین پژوهش حاضر با هدف آینده­پژوهی در مدیریت آموزشی دانشگاه فنی و حرفه­ای و احصای ابعاد و الگوها، در افق 1405 شمسی مورد تدقیق نظر قرار گرفت. جامعه آماری این پژوهش در بخش کیفی کلیه خبرگان حوزه مدیریت آموزشی، آموزش عالی، آینده‌پژوهان و رؤسای دانشکده­ها و آموزشکده­های ­فنی و حرفه­ای بود که با انجام 18 مصاحبه نمونه به اشباع نظری رسید و در بخش کمی شامل 918 نفر از استادان و کارکنان منطقه 2 دانشگاه فنی و حرفه‌ای بود که 271 نفر به عنوان نمونه انتخاب شدند. روش پژوهش از نظر داده، آمیخته اکتشافی (کیفی- کمی) و از نظر نوع مطالعه، تحلیل شبکه مضامین و پیمایشی مقطعی می­باشد. برای جمع­آوری داده­ها از ابزار مصاحبه به‌صورت نیمه­ساختار­یافته عمیق و پرسش‌نامه­ای محقق‌ساخته با 105 سنجه استفاده شد. در تجزیه‌وتحلیل داده­های تحقیق نیز از تحلیل عاملی تأییدی و ماتریس تحلیل تأثیرات ضمن کاربست نرم‌افزار PLS (2023) و میک­مک، سناریوهای قوی برای آن استخراج گردید. یافته­ها حاکی از آن است که مضامین سازمان­دهنده احصاشده در سه سطح مفهومی محتوایی، ساختاری و زمینه­ای مرتب‌شده بر ساختار دانشگاه متضمن شاخص­هایی همچون «نوآوری و خلاقیت»، «رعایت اصل شایستگی»، «تبلیغات و رقابت­پذیری»، «مشارکت بخش خصوصی»، «پیشرفت فناوری» و «حمایت جامعه» هستند که بیشترین تأثیر مستقیم برای دست­یابی به آینده­پژوهی مدیریت آموزشی در دانشگاه فنی و حرفه‌ای داشتند.
کلیدواژه‌ها
موضوعات

عنوان مقاله English

Future Research of Educational Management in Technical and Vocational University of Iran: Dimensions and Patterns

نویسندگان English

Farzaneh Fatahi 1
Mehdi Shariatmadari 2
Fereshteh Kordestani 2
1 PhD Student, Department of Educational Management, Central Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran.
2 Assistant Professor, Department of Educational Management, Central Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran.
چکیده English

The Since future studies provide a structured opportunity to look into the future and examine the role of effective factors in the formation of the future, it is possible to create a favourable perspective for policymakers and decision-makers of the educational system in the direction of development. Therefore, the current research examined the context of Horizon 1405 with the aim of future research in the educational management of Technical and Vocational University and statistics of dimensions and patterns. The statistical population of this research in the qualitative part included all experts in the field of educational management, higher education, future researchers and heads of technical and vocational schools and colleges, which reached theoretical saturation by conducting 18 sample interviews. The quantitative part of this research included 918 participants, of which 271 participants were selected as a sample from the professors and staff of the 2nd Technical and Vocational University. In terms of data, the research method was mixed exploratory (qualitative-quantitative) and in terms of the type of study, thematic network analysis and cross-sectional survey were conducted. To collect data, an in-depth semi-structured interview tool and a researcher-made questionnaire with 105 measures were used. In the analysis of the research data, strong scenarios were extracted from the confirmatory factor analysis and impact analysis matrix using PLS (2023) and Mic-Mac software. The findings indicated that the organizational themes counted in three conceptual levels of content, structure and context arranged on the structure of the university including indicators such as "innovation and creativity", "adherence to the principle of merit", "advertisements and competitiveness", "private sector participation", "technological progress" and "community support" had the most direct impact to achieve the future research of educational management in the technical and vocational university.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Educational Management
Educational Needs
Future Research Scenarios
Technical and Vocational University
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دوره 21، شماره 2
علوم انسانی
تابستان 1403
صفحه 37-79

  • تاریخ دریافت 04 مهر 1402
  • تاریخ بازنگری 22 آذر 1402
  • تاریخ پذیرش 20 آبان 1403