فصلنامه علمی کارافن

فصلنامه علمی کارافن

مدل ترکیبی ماشین بردار پشتیبان حداقل مربعات و بهینه‌سازی ازدحام ذرات برای پیش‌بینی شاخص بین‌المللی ناهمواری روسازی‌

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی (توسعه ای)

نویسندگان
1 استادیار، گروه مهندسی عمران، دانشکده مهندسی، دانشگاه بیرجند، بیرجند، ایران
2 دانشیار، گروه مهندسی عمران، دانشکده مهندسی، دانشگاه بیرجند، بیرجند، ایران
3 استادیار، گروه مهندسی عمران، دانشکده مهندسی معدن، عمران، شیمی، دانشگاه صنعتی بیرجند، بیرجند، ایران.
چکیده
پیش‌بینی عملکرد روسازی برای مدیریت مؤثر زیرساخت‌های جاده‌ای بسیار مهم است. زیرا به شناسایی و اولویت‌بندی فعالیت‌های نگهداری و نوسازی کمک می‌کند. اتخاذ تصمیمات آگاهانه و مناسب در خصوص تعمیر، بهسازی و بازسازی روسازی جاده‌ها و بزرگراه‌ها مستلزم برآورد دقیق کیفیت خدمت‌دهی و عملکرد روسازی در طی سالیان بهره‌برداری است. شاخص بین‌المللی ناهمواری (IRI) به عنوان یک شاخص کارآمد برای ارزیابی و تحلیل ناهمواری‌های سطح روسازی استفاده می‌شود. در این مقاله، مدل ترکیبی ماشین بردار پشتیبان حداقل مربعات (LS-SVM) و بهینه‌سازی ازدحام ذرات (PSO) توسعه داده شده است. در این مدل پیشنهادی، مقادیر بهینه پارامترهای تنظیم‌کننده LS-SVM توسط PSO تعیین می‌شود. همچنین تکنیک اعتبارسنجی متقاطع k-fold برای جلوگیری از بیش برازش LS-SVM در مرحله آموزش استفاده شده است. دو پایگاه داده آزمایشگاهی برنامه عملکرد بلندمدت روسازی (LTPP) برای سنجش کارایی مدل ترکیبی پیشنهادی جهت پیش‌بینی IRI در نظر گرفته شده است. ارزیابی دقت مدل ترکیبی LS-SVMو PSO براساس معیار ضریب تعیین (R2) برای دو پایگاه داده برابر 994/0 و 997/0 می‌باشد. در نهایت، مقایسه عملکرد مدل ترکیبی با دیگر روش‌های یادگیری ماشین نشان می‌دهد که مدل ترکیبی LS-SVMو PSO از دقت بالایی برخوردار می‌باشد.
کلیدواژه‌ها
موضوعات

عنوان مقاله English

Hybrid model of Least Square-Support Vector Machine and Particle Swarm Optimization for prediction of pavement International Roughness Index

نویسندگان English

Morteza Araghi 1
Mohsen Khatibinia 2
Sadegh Moodi 3
1 Assistant Professor,, Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, University of Birjand, Birjand, Iran
2 Associate Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, University of Birjand, Birjand, Iran
3 Assistant Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Mining, Civil and Chemical Engineering, Birjand University of Technology, Birjand, Iran.
چکیده English

The prediction of pavement performance is crucial for the effective management of road infrastructure, because it helps identify and prioritize maintenance and renovation activities. Making informed and appropriate decisions regarding the repair, improvement, and reconstruction of road and highway pavements requires an accurate assessment of the quality of service and performance of the pavement over years of operation. The International Roughness Index (IRI) is used as an efficient index for evaluating and analyzing the surface roughness of pavements. In this study, a hybrid model of the Least Squares-Support Vector Machine (LS-SVM) and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) was developed. In the proposed model, the optimal values of the tuning parameters of the LS-SVM were determined using PSO. Furthermore, the k-fold cross-validation technique was used to prevent overfitting of the LS-SVM in the training phase. Two laboratory databases of the Long-Term Pavement Performance program (LTPP) were used to evaluate the performance of the proposed hybrid model in predicting IRI. The accuracy evaluation of the combined LS-SVM and PSO model based on the coefficient of determination (R2) criterion for the two databases was 0.994 and 0.997, respectively. Finally, a comparison of the performance of the hybrid model with other machine learning methods shows that the hybrid model of LS-SVM and PSO has a high accuracy.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Road pavement
International Roughness Index
LTPP database
Least Squares-Support Vector Machine
Particle Swarm Optimization
K-fold Cross Validation
 
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دوره 22، شماره 3
فنی و مهندسی
پاییز 1404
صفحه 267-286

  • تاریخ دریافت 23 دی 1403
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